Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.385827 0.419353 0.455569 0.497791 0.545908 0.599329 0.663532
2025-11-09 0.323873 0.369235 0.421836 0.488126 0.570588 0.671388 0.806513
2025-11-16 0.286937 0.337298 0.398465 0.479741 0.587332 0.728629 0.935107
2025-11-23 0.261091 0.314022 0.380608 0.472811 0.601128 0.780052 1.062037
2025-11-30 0.246852 0.303080 0.376113 0.481211 0.634659 0.861730 1.248757
2025-12-07 0.231635 0.289042 0.365523 0.479067 0.651584 0.920205 1.411251
2025-12-14 0.218708 0.276760 0.355831 0.476509 0.666598 0.976944 1.584046
2025-12-21 0.204731 0.261879 0.341062 0.464562 0.664790 1.004625 1.708772
2025-12-28 0.199231 0.258307 0.341952 0.476089 0.701902 1.105588 2.011684
2026-01-04 0.192921 0.253053 0.339806 0.482375 0.730638 1.196265 2.325279
2026-01-11 0.185763 0.246053 0.334423 0.482724 0.748680 1.269306 2.625694
2026-01-18 0.176954 0.236089 0.323797 0.473328 0.747597 1.302743 2.835703
2026-01-25 0.168023 0.225712 0.312241 0.462008 0.742763 1.330090 3.050993
2026-02-01 0.160339 0.216878 0.302648 0.453407 0.742452 1.368449 3.324902
2026-02-08 0.153529 0.209019 0.294104 0.445873 0.743249 1.409639 3.634089
2026-02-15 0.147533 0.202109 0.286659 0.439636 0.745841 1.455818 3.993306
2026-02-22 0.144721 0.199982 0.286840 0.447195 0.778141 1.584894 4.788350
2026-03-01 0.140306 0.195108 0.282154 0.445267 0.789701 1.662195 5.434308
2026-03-08 0.136129 0.190412 0.277490 0.442965 0.800104 1.739254 6.168164
2026-03-15 0.130737 0.183545 0.268784 0.432207 0.789885 1.753616 6.574045
2026-03-22 0.129315 0.183006 0.270850 0.442587 0.830330 1.934478 8.296120
2026-03-29 0.127174 0.181187 0.270570 0.448242 0.860321 2.092955 10.228115
2026-04-05 0.124306 0.178044 0.267783 0.448556 0.877094 2.212630 12.165880